{"id":24331,"date":"2024-10-24T09:02:27","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T09:02:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peacerep.org\/?p=24331"},"modified":"2024-11-13T12:00:45","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T12:00:45","slug":"opinion-this-is-what-azerbaijan-can-focus-on-instead-of-a-truce-cop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gentest.cahss.ed.ac.uk\/dev-peacerep\/2024\/10\/24\/opinion-this-is-what-azerbaijan-can-focus-on-instead-of-a-truce-cop\/","title":{"rendered":"Opinion: This is what Azerbaijan can focus on instead of a \u2018truce COP\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

Despite the clear intersection between the existential threats of climate change and conflict, climate negotiations remain largely blind to them.<\/p>\n

As the host of the 29th\u00a0United Nations<\/a>\u00a0Climate Change Conference, or COP 29, Azerbaijan has a rare and critical opportunity to bridge the gap between climate action and peacebuilding. By making peace a central negotiation item of COP 29, establishing a dedicated\u00a0U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change<\/a>\u00a0peace constituency, and leading by example, Azerbaijan can show the path toward a more resilient and peaceful future.<\/p>\n

The stark reality of how climate change fuels conflict has become undeniable. In regions already plagued by instability, the worsening climate crisis acts as a catalyst, intensifying conflict drivers and displacement.\u00a0All 14 countries<\/a>\u00a0in the world most vulnerable to climate change are also experiencing conflict.<\/p>\n

Last year\u2019s COP 28 in the United Arab Emirates organized a thematic day focused on climate-conflict linkages and adopted a\u00a0declaration on climate, relief, recovery, and peace<\/a>. While a positive step, the lack of a binding legal framework hinders the declaration\u2019s effectiveness. The conflict blind spot in global climate governance is alarming, particularly as the number of conflicts is at its\u00a0highest point since World War II<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Given its geopolitical position at the crossroads between Europe, the Middle East, and Central Asia and its growing role as an alternative source to Russian gas, Azerbaijan is uniquely placed to lead a paradigm shift at COP 29.<\/p>\n

But Azerbaijan\u2019s \u201ctruce COP\u201d\u00a0proposal\u00a0<\/a>\u2014 a call for a global truce during the climate conference \u2014 while well-intentioned, is not the right approach to achieve this goal. The country\u2019s 2023\u00a0offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh<\/a>\u00a0and its poor human rights track record have eradicated the country\u2019s credibility as a peacemaker. The call for this \u201ctruce COP\u201d has inevitably led to\u00a0accusations of hypocrisy<\/a>\u00a0and of Azerbaijan trying to \u201cpeacewash\u201d its own history and role in the Caucasus.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

In light of allegations of a crackdown on civil society, Azerbaijan can make a powerful statement by releasing political prisoners and protecting independent journalism.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Moreover, past initiatives, such as the U.N. secretary-general\u2019s call for a\u00a0global COVID-19 ceasefire<\/a>, have had mixed outcomes and require significant sustained diplomatic and institutional support, which may be difficult to garner in the current geopolitical climate.<\/p>\n

However, there are other, more promising steps Azerbaijan can take to make COP 29 a milestone for peace-positive climate action:<\/p>\n

1. Make peace a negotiation item at COP 29<\/h4>\n

Azerbaijan could push for a formal agenda item at COP 29 that addresses the climate-conflict nexus. This would prompt negotiators to develop climate policies that are conflict-sensitive, ensuring that interventions do not inadvertently exacerbate or create tensions around natural resources or climate finance allocation.<\/p>\n

For example, adaptation projects in water-scarce regions must consider the potential for conflict over resources and include mechanisms for dispute resolution\u200b\u200b. As part of the global climate finance target to be agreed at COP 29, the\u00a0new collective quantifiable goal<\/a>, setting a figure for climate finance going to fragile and conflict-affected settings would help, too.<\/p>\n

To be sure, there will be resistance. Passing progressive action at COP 29 might require structural reforms, such as introducing a voting mechanism in UNFCCC processes rather than operating on the principle of consensus, which can dilute the ambition of any outcome.\u00a0But by advocating for the inclusion of conflict sensitivity in the UNFCCC\u2019s legal framework, Azerbaijan can help create a more holistic approach to climate action that addresses both environmental and social vulnerabilities.<\/p>\n

This approach would not only strengthen the resilience of communities on the front lines of climate change but also contribute to global security\u200b.<\/p>\n

2. Establish a dedicated UNFCCC peace constituency<\/h4>\n

Azerbaijan, in collaboration with the UNFCCC secretariat, should work toward the establishment of a dedicated peace constituency within the UNFCCC framework. This would provide a formal platform for peacebuilders, conflict-affected states, climate groups, and local community groups to collaborate on developing peace-positive climate action. This would ensure that peace considerations are systematically integrated into climate policies and provide a mechanism for monitoring and evaluating the impact of these policies\u200b\u200b.<\/p>\n

In the medium to long term, this could lead to the creation of legally binding frameworks that hold states accountable for the peace implications of their climate actions. Moreover, by fostering collaboration between the peacebuilding and climate communities, this constituency could advance climate justice and drive innovation in climate-conflict responses, ranging from early warning systems to climate-resilient infrastructure projects in conflict zones\u200b\u200b.<\/p>\n

3. Lead by example<\/h4>\n

The conflict with Armenia remains unresolved and concerns linger that war might return once the spotlight of COP 29 fades. Azerbaijan has a unique opportunity to demonstrate leadership at the intersection of climate and peace by pursuing a lasting peace agreement and fostering environmental cooperation as a means of confidence-building and reconciliation between the two nations.<\/p>\n

In light of allegations of a\u00a0crackdown on civil society<\/a>, Azerbaijan can make a powerful statement by releasing political prisoners and protecting independent journalism.\u00a0By actively engaging civil society in the lead-up to COP 29, Baku would signal its commitment to democratic values, transparency, and accountability, reinforcing its credentials to promote justice also on the global climate stage.<\/p>\n

The challenges are immense, but the potential rewards \u2013 for both the planet and its people \u2013 are even greater. Now is the time for bold, credible leadership and visionary thinking.<\/p>\n

\n

This blog was originally published by Devex on 15 October 2024.<\/a><\/p>\n

About the authors<\/h4>\n

Nisreen Elsaim<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nisreen Elsaim is an environmental and climate expert with a bachelor\u2019s degree in physics and a master\u2019s in renewable energy from the University of Khartoum. She is the former chair of the U.N. secretary general\u2019s Youth Advisory Group on Climate Change and a fellow at the Robert Bosch Academy, contributing to global climate policy and youth empowerment.<\/p>\n

Tim Epple<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tim Epple is the managing director of the Peace and Conflict Resolution Evidence Platform led by Edinburgh Law School. Tim works at the intersection of research and practice, providing evidence to parties in live peace processes to support mediation. His research focuses on the relationship between climate change and peacemaking.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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